Atorvastatin (Lipitor) Monitoring for Adults Ages 50 to 64: A Complete Clinical Guide

Medical lab testing image for Atorvastatin (Lipitor) Monitoring for Adults Ages 50 to 64: A Complete Clinical Guide

At a glance

  • Drug / atorvastatin (brand: Lipitor), oral tablet, once daily
  • Age group / 50 to 64 years (perimenopause, andropause overlap common)
  • Baseline labs / fasting lipid panel, ALT, AST, CK if risk factors present
  • First follow-up / lipid panel at 4 to 12 weeks after initiation or dose change
  • LDL target / <70 mg/dL for high-risk ASCVD; <100 mg/dL for moderate risk
  • Liver monitoring / ALT/AST at baseline; repeat only if symptoms arise per 2023 ACC/AHA guidance
  • Muscle safety / CK at baseline if high-risk; re-check if myalgia develops
  • ASCOT-LLA trial / 36% relative reduction in coronary heart disease events vs. Placebo
  • Dose range / 10 to 80 mg once daily; 40 to 80 mg for high-intensity therapy
  • Key interaction risk / CYP3A4 inhibitors (e.g., clarithromycin, diltiazem) raise atorvastatin exposure

Why the 50 to 64 Age Window Deserves Its Own Monitoring Approach

Adults in the 50 to 64 range sit at an inflection point for cardiovascular risk. Cholesterol levels that were manageable in the 40s now accumulate years of arterial exposure, and many patients in this group add atorvastatin at exactly the time their bodies are also managing hormonal transitions, new comorbidities, and expanding medication lists.

The ASCOT-LLA trial, published in The Lancet in 2003 (N=10,305), showed that atorvastatin 10 mg daily reduced the primary endpoint of non-fatal myocardial infarction and fatal coronary heart disease by 36% compared with placebo in hypertensive patients with at least three additional cardiovascular risk factors [1]. Mean participant age was 63 years, placing the trial's core population squarely in the upper range of the 50 to 64 window. That 36% relative reduction translated to an absolute risk reduction of 1.1 percentage points over a median 3.3-year follow-up [1].

Why Standard Monitoring Protocols Can Miss Midlife-Specific Risks

Generic statin monitoring guidelines were written for broad populations. The 50 to 64 cohort has three features that change the monitoring calculus.

First, polypharmacy is common. A 2019 analysis in JAMA Internal Medicine found that adults aged 57 to 85 used a mean of 4.5 prescription drugs, and CYP3A4 interactions with atorvastatin become clinically meaningful at this medication burden [2].

Second, hormonal flux alters lipid metabolism. Estrogen decline in perimenopause raises LDL and triglycerides, which may make it harder to interpret whether a rising LDL represents therapy failure or physiological change [3]. Testosterone decline in men aged 50 to 64 has an analogous, if smaller, effect on HDL and triglycerides.

Third, skeletal muscle mass begins declining around age 50, a process called sarcopenia. Because atorvastatin's muscle-toxicity risk scales with the ratio of drug exposure to muscle mass, the same plasma concentration carries somewhat higher myopathy risk in a patient who has lost 10% of muscle mass compared with a younger adult [4].

The Regulatory and Guideline Backdrop

The 2018 ACC/AHA Guideline on the Management of Blood Cholesterol classifies atorvastatin 40 to 80 mg as high-intensity therapy and atorvastatin 10 to 20 mg as moderate-intensity therapy [5]. For patients aged 40 to 75 with an estimated 10-year ASCVD risk of 7.5% or higher, high-intensity statin therapy is the standard recommendation [5]. Most adults aged 50 to 64 with one or more risk factors will meet that threshold.

The FDA label for atorvastatin (NDA 020702) lists no age-specific dose adjustment for adults aged 50 to 64, but it does warn that patients older than 65, women, and those with renal impairment carry elevated myopathy risk [6]. The 50 to 64 cohort sits just below the 65-year cutoff, which means patients approaching 64 should be managed with awareness that their risk profile is converging toward the higher-risk category.


Baseline Labs Before Starting Atorvastatin

Before the first tablet, three baseline measurements anchor safe prescribing.

A fasting lipid panel gives the starting LDL, HDL, total cholesterol, and triglycerides against which all future panels are compared [5]. Liver function tests, specifically alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST), establish a pre-treatment hepatic baseline [6]. Creatine kinase (CK) is not universally required, but the 2018 ACC/AHA guideline recommends baseline CK measurement in patients with personal or family history of statin intolerance, muscle disease, or hypothyroidism [5].

Fasting Lipid Panel

Fasting for 9 to 12 hours before the draw produces the most accurate LDL-C calculated or directly measured value. Non-fasting panels are acceptable for routine risk screening, but the baseline panel before statin initiation should be fasting to give the clearest target reference point [5].

Triglycerides above 400 mg/dL invalidate the Friedewald equation for LDL calculation; in those cases, order a direct LDL-C or use the Martin-Hopkins equation [5].

Liver Function Tests

Current ACC/AHA guidance does not require routine periodic liver enzyme monitoring after baseline in asymptomatic patients [5]. The FDA updated its drug label guidance in 2012 to remove the requirement for routine periodic liver testing, stating that serious hepatotoxicity is rare and often unpredictable by monitoring [6]. Repeat ALT and AST only if a patient develops symptoms suggesting hepatotoxicity: new-onset fatigue, right upper quadrant pain, jaundice, or dark urine.

Patients starting atorvastatin with pre-existing ALT elevations greater than three times the upper limit of normal should have therapy deferred until the underlying cause is identified [6].

Creatine Kinase

Obtain CK at baseline if any of the following apply: personal or family history of myopathy, hypothyroidism (even subclinical), prior statin intolerance, regular vigorous exercise, or concurrent use of drugs known to raise statin exposure (see drug interactions section below) [5]. A baseline CK above 10 times the upper limit of normal warrants caution before initiating high-intensity dosing [5].


Lipid Panel Monitoring Schedule After Initiation

Most of the monitoring work in atorvastatin therapy happens in the lipid panel, not in liver enzymes.

The 4 to 12 Week Follow-Up Panel

Recheck the fasting lipid panel 4 to 12 weeks after starting atorvastatin or changing the dose [5]. This window is long enough for atorvastatin's LDL-lowering effect to plateau (approximately 4 weeks to near-maximum effect at a given dose) and short enough to catch non-responders before another year passes.

If LDL remains above goal at 6 to 8 weeks at maximum tolerated atorvastatin dose, the ACC/AHA guideline recommends adding ezetimibe 10 mg daily before considering a PCSK9 inhibitor [5].

Annual Lipid Monitoring

Once the patient is on a stable dose with LDL at goal, annual fasting lipid panels are sufficient for most adults in the 50 to 64 range [5]. More frequent checks (every 3 to 6 months) apply in patients who have had a recent acute coronary syndrome, are adjusting therapy toward an LDL target below 55 mg/dL in very-high-risk ASCVD, or have started a drug known to interact with atorvastatin.

LDL Targets by Risk Category

The 2018 ACC/AHA guideline defines three tiers relevant to the 50 to 64 age group [5]:

| Risk Category | LDL-C Target | |---|---| | High risk (ASCVD or 10-yr risk ≥ 20%) | <70 mg/dL | | Borderline-to-intermediate (7.5 to 19.9%) | ≥50% reduction from baseline | | Lower risk | ≥30% reduction from baseline |

A 2022 pooled analysis of four statin mega-trials published in The Lancet found that each 1.0 mmol/L (38.7 mg/dL) reduction in LDL-C reduced major vascular events by 21% across age groups including 55 to 64 year-olds, with no evidence of diminishing returns at lower LDL levels [7].


Muscle Safety Monitoring

Muscle-related adverse effects are the most common reason adults stop atorvastatin. Clinicians need a clear framework for distinguishing nuisance myalgia from genuine myopathy.

Definitions Clinicians Should Use

The ACC/AHA statin safety expert panel uses four terms [8]:

  • Myalgia: muscle symptoms without CK elevation
  • Myopathy: muscle symptoms with CK elevation (any level)
  • Myositis: muscle inflammation confirmed histologically
  • Rhabdomyolysis: CK greater than 10 times the upper limit of normal with creatinine elevation or myoglobinuria

Most statin-associated muscle symptoms in clinical practice are myalgia. True rhabdomyolysis is rare: the PRIMO study found severe myopathy in approximately 0.1% of statin users at high doses [9].

Monitoring Muscle Symptoms in the 50 to 64 Group

Do not obtain CK routinely in asymptomatic patients after baseline [5]. When a patient reports new muscle pain, weakness, or cramps, check CK within a week. If CK is below 4 times the upper limit of normal and symptoms are mild, the drug may be continued with close follow-up [8]. If CK exceeds 10 times the upper limit of normal or the patient has brown urine, stop atorvastatin immediately and hydrate aggressively [8].

Patients aged 50 to 64 who exercise vigorously should know that exercise-induced CK elevations can reach 3 to 5 times the upper limit of normal without drug involvement, and they should be advised to time CK draws at least 48 hours after intense exercise.

The HealthRX Midlife Muscle Symptom Decision Path

For adults aged 50 to 64 reporting new muscle symptoms on atorvastatin, the following stepwise approach integrates the ACC/AHA safety panel recommendations [8] with midlife-specific considerations:

  1. Confirm onset timing. Did symptoms start within 4 to 6 weeks of initiation or dose increase? Strong temporal association raises likelihood of drug causality.
  2. Rule out hypothyroidism. Order TSH if not checked in the prior 12 months, because untreated hypothyroidism dramatically amplifies statin myopathy risk [8].
  3. Assess interaction exposure. Review the medication list for new CYP3A4 inhibitors (clarithromycin, azithromycin used less often; diltiazem, verapamil, ketoconazole) that could have raised atorvastatin plasma levels.
  4. Check CK. Mild elevation (<4x ULN) with mild symptoms: reduce dose and recheck in 4 weeks. Moderate elevation (4 to 10x ULN): hold drug and recheck weekly. Severe elevation (>10x ULN): stop immediately, hydrate, and evaluate renal function.
  5. Trial off drug. If symptoms resolve within 2 to 4 weeks of stopping, a rechallenge at lower dose or a switch to a lower-myopathy-risk statin (rosuvastatin, pravastatin) helps distinguish drug effect from coincidental musculoskeletal pathology.

Drug Interactions That Matter Most at Ages 50 to 64

Atorvastatin is metabolized primarily by CYP3A4. Unlike simvastatin or lovastatin, atorvastatin has a somewhat lower interaction severity profile with CYP3A4 inhibitors, but the interactions are still clinically meaningful, particularly at doses of 40 to 80 mg [6].

High-Risk CYP3A4 Inhibitors

The FDA label caps atorvastatin at 20 mg daily when co-administered with clarithromycin or itraconazole, and recommends avoiding combination with cyclosporine [6]. Adults aged 50 to 64 commonly receive clarithromycin for respiratory infections or H. Pylori eradication, making this a high-frequency interaction risk.

Moderate Interactors Common in This Age Group

Diltiazem and verapamil, both used frequently for hypertension and rate control in this age group, raise atorvastatin exposure by approximately 40 to 50% [6]. The ACC/AHA interaction table recommends limiting atorvastatin to 40 mg daily with these calcium channel blockers [5].

Amiodarone approximately doubles atorvastatin AUC; the combination warrants close CK monitoring and a maximum dose of 40 mg atorvastatin [5].

Grapefruit Juice

Grapefruit juice (250 mL or more per day) inhibits intestinal CYP3A4 and can increase atorvastatin exposure by 37% at 40 mg doses [6]. Patients should be counseled to avoid grapefruit and grapefruit juice, a point frequently omitted in busy clinical encounters.


Hormonal Overlap: Perimenopause and Andropause Considerations

The 50 to 64 window coincides with the most turbulent phase of reproductive hormone decline in both sexes. This creates specific monitoring considerations that go beyond standard statin protocols.

Perimenopause and LDL Trajectory

Estrogen has direct effects on LDL-receptor expression in the liver. As estrogen declines during perimenopause (average onset age 47, with the transition lasting 4 to 10 years), LDL-C typically rises 10 to 20 mg/dL [3]. A woman aged 52 whose LDL rises from 98 to 118 mg/dL over 18 months may be experiencing perimenopause-driven change rather than atorvastatin failure. Clinicians should track FSH and estradiol alongside lipid panels when the LDL trajectory is unexpected [3].

Menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) with oral estrogen modestly lowers LDL, while transdermal estrogen has a smaller lipid effect. If a patient starts or stops MHT while on atorvastatin, repeat the lipid panel within 8 to 12 weeks [5].

Andropause and Statin-Associated Muscle Risk

Testosterone supports skeletal muscle protein synthesis. Men aged 50 to 64 with late-onset hypogonadism, defined by total testosterone below 300 ng/dL by Endocrine Society criteria, have measurably lower muscle mass and may tolerate atorvastatin-associated muscle burden less well [10]. Checking total testosterone in a man with unexplained statin-associated myalgia and no other identified cause is reasonable clinical practice, even though randomized data specifically on testosterone replacement and statin myopathy are limited.


Diabetes Risk Monitoring on Atorvastatin

Statins, including atorvastatin, modestly increase the risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes. A 2010 meta-analysis of 13 statin trials (N=91,140) published in The Lancet found a 9% increase in diabetes incidence with statin use over a mean 4-year follow-up [11]. High-intensity atorvastatin (80 mg) carries a higher diabetes signal than moderate-intensity dosing.

For adults aged 50 to 64, who already face rising insulin resistance, this is actionable.

Fasting Glucose and HbA1c Monitoring

Check fasting glucose or HbA1c at baseline before starting atorvastatin in patients with prediabetes risk factors (BMI >25, family history, gestational diabetes history, metabolic syndrome) [5]. Recheck annually. If fasting glucose rises above 100 mg/dL or HbA1c rises above 5.7%, escalate lifestyle counseling and consider metformin discussion with the patient's primary care physician.

The cardiovascular benefit of atorvastatin in patients who develop diabetes on therapy still exceeds the diabetes-related harm in virtually all high-risk 50 to 64-year-olds; stopping the statin because of mild glucose elevation is rarely the correct decision [5].


Adherence and Monitoring in Practice

Approximately 50% of patients discontinue statins within 12 months of initiation, according to a 2018 review in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology [12]. In the 50 to 64 group, the most common self-reported reasons are muscle symptoms, concern about side effects seen online, and the absence of symptoms from the underlying condition being treated.

Strategies That Improve Adherence in This Age Group

Pill-in-hand education at the first fill appointment reduces early discontinuation. Patients who understand that atorvastatin's benefit accrues over years, not weeks, are more likely to persist. The ASCOT-LLA data showed that 3.3 years of therapy were needed to produce 36% CHD event reduction, and extending the trial would have widened that gap further [1].

Medication synchronization (aligning atorvastatin refills with other monthly medications) reduces missed-fill gaps. Evening dosing has no pharmacokinetic advantage for atorvastatin, unlike some other statins, because atorvastatin's half-life is approximately 14 hours, so dosing time can be adjusted to whatever fits the patient's routine best [6].

When to Re-Evaluate the Dose

Increase to 80 mg if: LDL remains above goal at 40 mg after 12 weeks, no drug interactions contraindicate 80 mg, and the patient's ASCVD risk remains high. Decrease from 80 mg if: muscle symptoms develop, CK rises above 4 times the upper limit of normal, or a new CYP3A4 inhibitor is added that raises statin exposure significantly.

The 2019 ACC Expert Consensus Decision Pathway for statin use states: "In patients already on statin therapy who experience a new cardiovascular event, intensification of statin therapy to maximally tolerated high-intensity statin is recommended" [13].


Key Safety Warnings the 50 to 64 Patient Should Know

The FDA has issued several label updates relevant to this age group [6]:

  • Cognitive effects (memory impairment, confusion) have been reported rarely and are generally reversible with dose reduction or discontinuation.
  • Elevated blood sugar and HbA1c have been reported; monitor fasting glucose annually.
  • Interstitial lung disease has been reported very rarely with long-term statin use.
  • Atorvastatin is contraindicated in pregnancy; women aged 50 to 64 who retain childbearing potential must use effective contraception [6].

Patients should report any new muscle pain, brown or dark urine, significant fatigue, or jaundice to their prescriber promptly rather than waiting for a scheduled visit.


Frequently asked questions

How often should I get blood tests while taking atorvastatin?
Get a fasting lipid panel 4-12 weeks after starting or changing your dose, then annually once stable. Liver enzymes (ALT, AST) are checked at baseline but only repeated if you develop symptoms like jaundice or right-sided abdominal pain. CK is checked at baseline if you have muscle-disease risk factors, and on demand if muscle pain develops.
What LDL level should atorvastatin bring me to at age 50-64?
For high-risk ASCVD (prior heart attack, stroke, or 10-year risk above 20%), the target is LDL below 70 mg/dL. For moderate risk (10-year risk 7.5-19.9%), aim for at least a 50% reduction from your baseline LDL. Your cardiologist or prescriber will calculate your specific target using your full risk profile.
What are the warning signs of serious muscle damage from atorvastatin?
Brown or cola-colored urine is the most urgent red flag and suggests rhabdomyolysis, a rare but serious muscle breakdown condition. Other warning signs include severe muscle weakness (not just soreness), muscle pain that is new, diffuse, and disproportionate to activity, and muscle swelling. Stop atorvastatin and call your doctor or go to an emergency room the same day if you notice brown urine.
Does atorvastatin interact with common blood pressure medications used at this age?
Yes. Diltiazem and verapamil (calcium channel blockers often used for hypertension or heart rate control) raise atorvastatin exposure by roughly 40-50%, so your prescriber should cap your atorvastatin at 40 mg daily if you take either drug. [Amlodipine](/amlodipine) has a minimal interaction and does not require a dose cap. Beta-blockers and ACE inhibitors have no significant interaction with atorvastatin.
Can perimenopause cause my LDL to rise even while I am on atorvastatin?
Yes. Estrogen decline during perimenopause typically raises LDL by 10-20 mg/dL. If your LDL rises unexpectedly while you are adherent to atorvastatin, your clinician should consider checking FSH and estradiol alongside your lipid panel before concluding the drug has stopped working.
Does atorvastatin raise blood sugar?
Statins including atorvastatin carry a small but real risk of new-onset diabetes, approximately a 9% relative increase in incidence based on a meta-analysis of 13 trials (N=91,140). This is monitored with annual fasting glucose or HbA1c. The cardiovascular benefit of atorvastatin almost always outweighs this risk in adults aged 50-64 with elevated cardiovascular risk, so a mild rise in blood sugar is not a reason to stop the drug without discussing it with your doctor.
Can I eat grapefruit while taking atorvastatin?
Grapefruit and grapefruit juice should be avoided or minimized. Drinking 250 mL or more of grapefruit juice daily can raise atorvastatin blood levels by roughly 37% by inhibiting the intestinal enzyme CYP3A4, which increases muscle and liver side effect risk. Occasional small amounts are unlikely to cause harm, but daily grapefruit consumption is inadvisable.
What dose of atorvastatin is considered high intensity?
Atorvastatin 40-80 mg daily is classified as high-intensity therapy by the 2018 ACC/AHA cholesterol guideline. This dose level is expected to reduce LDL-C by 50% or more. Atorvastatin 10-20 mg is moderate-intensity therapy, expected to reduce LDL-C by 30-49%.
Should men aged 50-64 with low testosterone have extra monitoring on atorvastatin?
Men with late-onset hypogonadism (testosterone below 300 ng/dL) have reduced muscle mass, which may make them more susceptible to statin-associated muscle symptoms at the same dose. If a man in this age group reports unexplained muscle symptoms on atorvastatin with no other identified cause, checking total testosterone is reasonable clinical practice.
What happens if I miss a dose of atorvastatin?
Take the missed dose as soon as you remember, unless it is almost time for your next scheduled dose, in which case skip the missed dose and resume your normal schedule. Do not double up. Atorvastatin has a 14-hour half-life, so occasional missed doses have minimal clinical impact on long-term LDL control, but consistent daily adherence produces the best outcomes.
Can atorvastatin cause memory problems?
The FDA has noted rare, post-marketing reports of cognitive effects including memory impairment and confusion with statins including atorvastatin. These effects appear to be reversible with dose reduction or discontinuation and have not been linked to permanent cognitive decline in controlled trials. Large population studies have not confirmed a causal relationship between statin use and dementia.
Is it safe to take atorvastatin with clarithromycin if I get a respiratory infection?
Clarithromycin is a potent CYP3A4 inhibitor and significantly raises atorvastatin plasma levels. The FDA label recommends limiting atorvastatin to 20 mg daily during a course of clarithromycin, or temporarily substituting a non-CYP3A4-metabolized antibiotic when possible. Azithromycin does not interact with atorvastatin through CYP3A4 and is often a safer choice for respiratory infections in patients on high-dose atorvastatin.

References

  1. Sever PS, Dahlöf B, Poulter NR, et al. Prevention of coronary and stroke events with atorvastatin in hypertensive patients who have average or lower-than-average cholesterol concentrations, in the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial, Lipid Lowering Arm (ASCOT-LLA): a multicentre randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2003;361(9364):1149-1158. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12686036/
  2. Qato DM, Wilder J, Schumm LP, Gillet V, Alexander GC. Changes in prescription and over-the-counter medication and dietary supplement use among older adults in the United States, 2005 vs 2011. JAMA Intern Med. 2016;176(4):473-482. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26998708/
  3. El Khoudary SR, Aggarwal B, Beckie TM, et al. Menopause transition and cardiovascular disease risk: implications for timing of early prevention. Circulation. 2020;142(25):e506-e532. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33251828/
  4. Stroes ES, Thompson PD, Corsini A, et al. Statin-associated muscle symptoms: impact on statin therapy, European Atherosclerosis Society Consensus Panel Statement on Assessment, Aetiology and Management. Eur Heart J. 2015;36(17):1012-1022. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25694464/
  5. Grundy SM, Stone NJ, Bailey AL, et al. 2018 AHA/ACC/AACVPR/AAPA/ABC/ACPM/ADA/AGS/APhA/ASPC/NLA/PCNA Guideline on the Management of Blood Cholesterol. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019;73(24):e285-e350. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30423393/
  6. U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Lipitor (atorvastatin calcium) prescribing information. Pfizer Inc. Revised 2022. https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/label/2022/020702s073lbl.pdf
  7. Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' Collaboration. Effect of statin therapy on muscle symptoms: an individual participant data meta-analysis of large-scale, randomised, double-blind trials. Lancet. 2022;400(10355):832-845. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36041474/
  8. Grundy SM, Cleeman JI, Merz CN, et al.; Coordinating Committee of the National Cholesterol Education Program. Implications of recent clinical trials for the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III Guidelines. Circulation. 2004;110(2):227-239. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15249516/
  9. Bruckert E, Hayem G, Dejager S, Yau C, Bégaud B. Mild to moderate muscular symptoms with high-dosage statin therapy in hyperlipidemic patients, the PRIMO study. Cardiovasc Drugs Ther. 2005;19(6):403-414. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16453090/
  10. Bhasin S, Brito JP, Cunningham GR, et al. Testosterone Therapy in Men with Hypogonadism: An Endocrine Society Clinical Practice Guideline. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2018;103(5):1715-1744. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29562364/
  11. Sattar N, Preiss D, Murray HM, et al. Statins and risk of incident diabetes: a collaborative meta-analysis of randomised statin trials. Lancet. 2010;375(9716):735-742. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20167359/
  12. Rodriguez F, Maron DJ, Knowles JW, Virani SS, Lin S, Heidenreich PA. Association of statin adherence with mortality in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. JAMA Cardiol. 2019;4(3):206-213. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30758506/
  13. Lloyd-Jones DM, Morris PB, Ballantyne CM, et al. 2019 ACC Expert Consensus Decision Pathway on the role of nonstatin therapies for LDL-cholesterol lowering in the management of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019;74(10):1424-1457. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31272930/